Anwar Daou

In a scientific simulation for the future, based on the approximate indicators about climate change, a recent study concluded that predicted effects of climate change consequences, will prevent the achievement of planned food development by 2015, which is about one-third of food production. According to the study also, the rate of food availability will decrease by 3.2 percent per capita (i.e. 99 calories a day), and the fruits and vegetables consumption rate will reach 4.0 percent (14.9 grams per day), and the consumption of red meat a rate of 0.7 percent (0.5 grams per day).

True, these are estimated figures, but they are worrying and scary, not in the sense of painting grim milestones for the coming years, but for providing conclusive evidence that climate change will have potential devastating implications on global food production and health, especially that it is the first taxonomic study to determine the effects of climate change on nature of diet and weight, as well as the estimating the amount of victims of climate change in 155 countries in 2050.

The study provided a vision of what might happen in the next 30 to 40 years, and observed that reduction of consumption at the individual level can lead to changes in energy stocks and diets’ composition, and these changes will have important implications on health.

Apart from the study, decline in global crop production has led to wars, as a result of climatic conditions such as droughts and lack of rain. Historians also agree that the economic downturn was one of the main causes of the French Revolution (1789 – 1799), because famine was widespread among the poor in France, along with price increase for basic materials such as bread, and the increase of crop prices as a result of natural disasters and weather, since crops were damaged as a result of bad weather conditions and droughts. However, the study did not mention other causes as social injustice, the state bankruptcy, and increase of public debt … etc.

If we go back to the study, we see the size of future danger, which means that future generations will face and live the consequences of wars and unrest, under the label of food and water scarcity, as a result of the disruption of ecosystems. This imbalance will not be temporarily for two or more years (the French case), since Climate change cannot be restored, except with a conscious international will of the size of dangers threatening us. If the French Revolution succeeded in eliminating injustice and tyranny, will we be able to triumph over monopolies and the powerful control and exhaustion of the world’s resources?

We are in need of a humanitarian awakening, and there is an opportunity beyond what the world set in “Paris climate conference,” If the great powers consented to humanize their economy and secure sustainability as the sole condition in order to pass the difficult exam!

Publisher: Lebanese Company for Information & Studies

Editor in chief: Hassan Moukalled

Lebanon : Dr. Zaynab Moukalled Noureddine, Dr. Naji Kodeih
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